Monday, June 13, 2016

Political Thriller? Dystopian SciFi? Standing on the cliff edge and looking over.... (Part I)



It's warm in Seville, Spain with fresh mornings and heat-laden afternoons. The sky is a bright blue, and the sunlight has a luminous quality that intensifies colors and deepens shadows. Stories flash out of the cool mists that bathe the cafe/bars and filter up out of the tiled surface of the Alameda de Hercules park, too tempting not to saunter into a drenching on a hot afternoon, weaving though the droplets and cavorting (no other word for it) students.

The stories that come to mind try to reflect the brilliance of light and color, but the shadows seems to insist on a tinge of menace. Snatches of conversation heard around the dozens of cafe tables echo with concern, sometimes passion and often anger: there's an election on 26 June to elect the full parliament of Spain. It's the second general election in less than 7 months and is necessary because none of the several political parties won a clear majority.  Various attempts by the major parties to form a coalition government failed, in part due to inability to reconcile policy differences and come up with compromise positions. Some of the coalition attempts disgusted once optimistic voters. "How could Party X try to join with Party Y? I can't vote for Party X again after that," a friend told me. "I don't know who to vote for now."

The PP campaigns in Seville (2016)
Corruption scandals and economic difficulties are causing further pressures on the still developing democracy in Spain. The country's deficit--claimed to have been exacerbated by a tax cut in an election year meant to draw voters to the then-ruling party, the Partido Popular (PP)--prompted the IMF to call for increased austerity which caused budgets to be slashed at all levels; unemployment stands at around 21%.

There are fewer comments about the 23 June vote in Britain on whether to stay in the European Union (tagged "Bremain") or leave (tagged, "Brexit"). For many in Europe, it's unthinkable that Britain would really withdraw. For Brits, not so much. According to the British newspaper The Independent of 11 June, among probable voters in the UK, 55% support Brexit, while 45% favor staying in the Union. The worry in Europe about Britain's withdrawal is that if Britain leaves, others unhappy with their place in the Union will follow. Some voices add that Britain's departure would spur additional splintering (in Spain, the worry is that Catalonia will increase its pressures for independence).

The imagination boggles: so many plots and counterplots are suggested by these events. Vigilante groups seem to be growing in some European countries, ostensibly to protect against immigrant incursion... except there are few immigrants of any stripe in the areas where they're forming (See "Vigilantes Patrol Parts of Europe Where Few Migrants Set Foot," by  Miroslava Germanova, Boryana Dzhambazova and Helene Bienvenujun, NYT, 10 June 2016). The extreme right in France has been gaining strength. In the aftermath of recent floods and the series of strikes that preceded the floods, further destabilization--such as what could follow a successful Brexit vote--could threaten French liberalism.

The Austrian electorate barely avoided electing a President from the  right-wing Freedom Party of Austria (FPO) who ran on a platform voicing strong opposition to forced multiculturalism, globalization and mass immigration," essentially, "Austria First!" The election was close enough that the FPO has challenged the results in Austria's Constitutional Court. (See https://www.rt.com/news/345856-freedom-party-austria-election/)

And then there's Putin, not above using old dog's tricks on new platforms, like news agencies that are just legitimate enough to give some credence when a misinformation story is slipped in to their mix.

Gotta say: for anyone considering writing a political thriller or  one of those dystopian visions of the future, the stories available to be "ripped from the headlines" just abound!

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